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Liverpool will host Leicester City in a battle between two of the top four clubs struggling with injuries on Sunday.I will do my best to handicap this game in a thoughtful way, but it will be imperative that punters check the starting lineups before submitting bets

Having said that, it should be a high quality soccer game and I can’t wait to see who wins

Expected Goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that indicates whether results are based on lasting factors like regular creation of chances to score, or if this is due to aspects such as luck or an exceptional goalkeeper

The Reds have started the year on a really strong footing given the circumstances Their squad is riddled with injuries

Virgil Van Dijk and Joe Gomez are now gone for the long haul Jordan Henderson, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Mo Salah take out Sunday Thiago Alcantara and Fabinho sound like game decisions

I think Liverpool can survive without Salah Diogo Jota, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane are still the top three dominants who can execute many chances

Biggest problem will be in midfield If Joel Matip, Fabinho and Thiago play I would feel a lot more confident to support Liverpool

Injuries aside, Liverpool still lead the league with 18 expected goals without penalty (npxG) per game and third in npxG awarded at 097 per game This defensive form could dive without Alexander-Arnold and Gomez, but Andy Robertson, Matip and Fabinho are far from a disaster if the last two are in good shape

What a start for the Foxes this season They currently sit third and would return to number one with a surprise at Anfield on Sunday

Leicester also suffered injuries They will be without Caglar Soyuncu again, Ricardo Pereira and Wilfried Ndidi Wesley Fofana and Timothy Castagne also face injuries Looks like the last two should be able to try, but Leicester are also far from be in good health

If Leicester manages to field a front-threesome with James Maddison, Youri Tielemans and Jamie Vardy, they should be a handful for Liverpool’s exhausted defense

Although they are near the top of the board, the advanced metrics are not nice to the foxes Leicester created 173 xG / game but they only generate 097 npxG / game This is double the difference between Liverpool’s xG and npxG Point blank: Leicester’s production has largely come from the penalty spot this season This is in part due to Jamie Vardy’s talents, but in the long run screaming regression

Leicester’s defense has been solid, allowing for a respectable 116 xGA per game Brendan Rodgers has done a tremendous job setting up this squad for success, but they’re going to stop being so dependent on penalties if they want to fight for a place in the top four

Like I said in the intro it’s a tough game to predict due to the injuries I’m confident Liverpool’s top three will be able to create enough scoring opportunities, but this game could come down to whoever plays in the middle for the Reds

If Thiago or Fabinho start or are available, I would back the Reds Leicester’s penalty luck will decline, and I would need to see more creation of shots to back them up there

I expect both teams to be able to score here, so I will play the total by going over three goals with a minus-117 odds on the alternate number

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World News – CA – Liverpool vs Leicester City: dynamic infractions will be a story at Anfield

Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/premier-league-odds-picks-predictions-leicester-city-vs-liverpool-sunday-nov-22